Maspalomas vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
VSB
1 - 2
MAS
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
RAC
2 - 5
MAS
23%
27%
50%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
MAS
1 - 0
LAN
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
CDP
0 - 0
MAS
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
MAS
3 - 0
LAG
81%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 1
RAC
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
LAN
2 - 0
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDP
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
LAG
0 - 1
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDI
61%
21%
17%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |