Marz vs Kohfidisch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
15º
29
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 77 |
1º
|
93.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 61 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 18 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
32%
22%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
MAR
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
BAS
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
PIN
5 - 1
MAR
64%
18%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +6 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
EBE
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +3 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 5
FUR
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 4
RIT
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |