Marsala vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
VAL
29%
24%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
SPC
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 2
TUR
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HYR
0 - 4
NOT
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
NOT
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
MES
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |