Marsa FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
MQA
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GHA
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
5 - 1
MSI
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
0 - 2
MAR
18%
22%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NAX
1 - 0
LIJ
35%
24%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PIE
2 - 0
NAX
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SLI
4 - 2
NAX
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAI
3 - 1
NAX
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAX
1 - 1
QOR
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |