Second Division Malta Round 5

Marsa FC vs Gharghur analysis

Marsa FC Gharghur
46 ELO 51
9.2% Tilt -1.2%
2877º General ELO ranking 6962º
16º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
26.9%
Marsa FC
24%
Draw
49.1%
Gharghur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
Marsa FC
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.1%
Win probability
Gharghur
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marsa FC
-22%
-38%
Gharghur

ELO progression

Marsa FC
Gharghur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
QOR
Qormi FC
3 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
51%
23%
26%
45 43 2 0
25 Sep. 2016
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 1
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
38%
24%
38%
46 48 2 -1
18 Sep. 2016
MEL
Melita
1 - 0
Marsa FC
MAR
39%
25%
35%
47 43 4 -1
09 Sep. 2016
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 3
Mqabba FC
MQA
43%
25%
32%
47 49 2 0
23 Apr. 2016
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
59%
22%
19%
45 50 5 +2

Matches

Gharghur
Gharghur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2016
GHA
Gharghur
2 - 2
Lija
LIJ
46%
25%
29%
51 52 1 0
24 Sep. 2016
PIE
Pieta Hotspurs
1 - 2
Gharghur
GHA
48%
25%
27%
51 53 2 0
18 Sep. 2016
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 6
Senglea Athletic
SEN
44%
26%
30%
52 54 2 -1
10 Sep. 2016
SIR
Sirens
1 - 2
Gharghur
GHA
42%
24%
34%
50 48 2 +2
23 Apr. 2016
GHA
Gharghur
1 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
59%
22%
19%
50 45 5 0