Marquense vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
3 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
LEO
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 4
MUN
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COA
1 - 1
LEO
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CON
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
MUN
19%
29%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
CON
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
COB
2 - 1
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
COB
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |