FA Cup
Global 5-5
Marlow FC vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
KID
70%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AFD
2 - 2
MAR
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
3 - 1
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
BEA
45%
24%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
1 - 1
KEM
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
BEA
1 - 2
AYL
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAN
1 - 1
BEA
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |