Marken vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ZUI
5 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DVV
1 - 2
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
AJA
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
VVA
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +4 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 0
SVL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
VVZ
2 - 2
SWI
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
5 - 0
ZUI
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DVV
1 - 1
SWI
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 0
DEM
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |