Marítimo III vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 4
MAR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CES
2 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 0
GAF
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 1
GOU
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |