Marítimo II vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
14º
13º
7
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LEC
3 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 2
BMA
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 3
GFC
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
4 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
REG
0 - 1
CIN
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
COI
2 - 2
REG
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
REG
0 - 1
ADM
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 0
REG
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALP
3 - 1
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |