Marisca Mersch vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEH
2 - 2
MAR
18%
20%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
STE
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
FEU
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ORA
2 - 3
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 3
RES
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
6 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOE
2 - 5
LOR
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 2
LOR
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
2 - 0
MLI
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOR
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |