Marisca Mersch vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
FEU
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ORA
0 - 1
MAR
19%
20%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
DCE
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 1
DCE
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
5 - 2
LOR
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
RES
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
LOR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
JEU
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |