Marinhense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAF
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
18%
24%
59%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RDA
4 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
BEN
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADM
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 0
FAL
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OLE
2 - 0
ADM
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 2
FAV
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -1 |