Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Serie A round 9

Marinhas U19 vs Varzim U19 analysis

Marinhas U19 Varzim U19
25 ELO 38
-8.8% Tilt -10.5%
7626º General ELO ranking 7014º
179º Country ELO ranking 162º
ELO win probability
15.3%
Marinhas U19
18.3%
Draw
66.4%
Varzim U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
Marinhas U19
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.4%
Win probability
Varzim U19
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marinhas U19
-9%
-44%
Varzim U19

Points and table prediction

Marinhas U19
Their league position
Varzim U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
39
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chaves U19
43
43
100%
Varzim U19
39
39
100%
Vilaverdense U19
33
33
100%
Merelinense U19
26
26
100%
Os Limianos U19
24
24
60%
Marinhas U19
22
23
27%
Trofense U19
21
22
27%
Amarante U19
21
21
60%
Mirandela U19
12
12
100%
Vila Real U19
10º
5
5
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marinhas U19
Varzim U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Marinhas U19
Varzim U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marinhas U19
Marinhas U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chaves U19
4 - 0
Marinhas U19
MAR
85%
10%
5%
25 43 18 0
15 Oct. 2022
MAR
Marinhas U19
1 - 3
Os Limianos U19
OSL
35%
22%
42%
26 30 4 -1
08 Oct. 2022
AMA
Amarante U19
0 - 0
Marinhas U19
MAR
59%
20%
21%
26 28 2 0
24 Sep. 2022
MER
Merelinense U19
1 - 0
Marinhas U19
MAR
56%
21%
24%
27 29 2 -1
10 Sep. 2022
MAR
Marinhas U19
0 - 2
Vilaverdense U19
VIL
31%
22%
47%
28 33 5 -1

Matches

Varzim U19
Varzim U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
VAR
Varzim U19
0 - 0
Merelinense U19
MER
70%
17%
13%
39 29 10 0
15 Oct. 2022
VAR
Varzim U19
0 - 0
Chaves U19
CHA
38%
26%
37%
39 43 4 0
08 Oct. 2022
VIL
Vilaverdense U19
3 - 1
Varzim U19
VAR
34%
22%
44%
40 35 5 -1
01 Oct. 2022
VAR
Varzim U19
4 - 1
Os Limianos U19
OSL
66%
18%
16%
40 32 8 0
17 Sep. 2022
MIR
Mirandela U19
0 - 3
Varzim U19
VAR
19%
19%
62%
39 25 14 +1