Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Serie A Round 17

Marinhas U19 vs Chaves U19 analysis

Marinhas U19 Chaves U19
31 ELO 45
-8.6% Tilt -13%
8153º General ELO ranking 5923º
188º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
23%
Marinhas U19
24.5%
Draw
52.5%
Chaves U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
Marinhas U19
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.5%
Win probability
Chaves U19
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marinhas U19
-29%
-3%
Chaves U19

Points and table prediction

Marinhas U19
Their league position
Chaves U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
43
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chaves U19
43
43
100%
Varzim U19
39
39
100%
Vilaverdense U19
33
33
100%
Merelinense U19
26
26
100%
Os Limianos U19
24
24
60%
Marinhas U19
22
23
27%
Trofense U19
21
22
27%
Amarante U19
21
21
60%
Mirandela U19
12
12
100%
Vila Real U19
10º
5
5
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marinhas U19
Chaves U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Marinhas U19
Chaves U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marinhas U19
Marinhas U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
OSL
Os Limianos U19
1 - 1
Marinhas U19
MAR
45%
22%
33%
33 30 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marinhas U19
3 - 1
Amarante U19
AMA
55%
21%
24%
32 28 4 +1
10 Dec. 2022
TRF
Trofense U19
0 - 1
Marinhas U19
MAR
48%
22%
30%
31 30 1 +1
03 Dec. 2022
MAR
Marinhas U19
1 - 1
Merelinense U19
MER
30%
22%
48%
30 37 7 +1
26 Nov. 2022
VIL
Vilaverdense U19
2 - 1
Marinhas U19
MAR
72%
16%
12%
31 40 9 -1

Matches

Chaves U19
Chaves U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chaves U19
1 - 1
Varzim U19
VAR
52%
23%
25%
45 43 2 0
07 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chaves U19
2 - 2
Os Limianos U19
OSL
79%
13%
9%
45 29 16 0
10 Dec. 2022
AMA
Amarante U19
0 - 3
Chaves U19
CHA
19%
20%
61%
44 29 15 +1
03 Dec. 2022
TRF
Trofense U19
0 - 1
Chaves U19
CHA
22%
21%
57%
43 30 13 +1
26 Nov. 2022
MER
Merelinense U19
3 - 1
Chaves U19
CHA
23%
24%
52%
45 33 12 -2