Marín CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALE
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOM
1 - 3
MAR
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
CHO
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHO
3 - 2
VER
65%
21%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UDA
1 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHO
4 - 2
ATO
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |