Marignane vs US Le Pontet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AND
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAB
4 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
GAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
GAZ
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
US Le Pontet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LEP
1 - 3
GFO
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LEP
1 - 1
MON
32%
29%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
LEP
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LEP
2 - 1
AND
28%
29%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
UZE
1 - 1
LEP
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |