Marignane vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
FCM
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 2
MAR
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEP
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 1
ROD
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
NIC
61%
23%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LEP
0 - 0
NIC
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |