Marignane vs Albi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
TAR
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
2 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
HYE
43%
28%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
0 - 2
ALB
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 2
OLY
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FCM
2 - 2
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
LES
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |