Marignane Gignac U19 vs Montpellier U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
14º
13º
47
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
MGG
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 1
MON
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MGG
2 - 1
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ETI
3 - 1
MGG
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MGG
3 - 1
ROD
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
AJA
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ETI
4 - 4
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
ROD
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
40%
23%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
OLY
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |