Marienlyst vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
1º
21
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 2
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
B19
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
OKS
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HED
1 - 2
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RIN
1 - 0
MAR
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
OKS
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HED
0 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 4
RIN
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OTB
1 - 1
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |