Marienlyst vs Brønshøj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
7º
4º
14
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 1
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAS
22%
21%
57%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIN
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 3
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
OTB
85%
10%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brønshøj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRØ
2 - 2
B19
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GVI
1 - 4
BRØ
17%
19%
63%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRØ
2 - 0
TAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HER
3 - 3
BRØ
9%
13%
78%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRØ
3 - 1
GSL
79%
12%
8%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |