St. Marienkirchen vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VOC
7 - 1
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
UNP
1 - 4
UNI
46%
23%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
UNP
3 - 0
BAD
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2007 |
KOF
2 - 2
UNP
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -7 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
UNP
1 - 2
VOC
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
ALL
2 - 1
UNP
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |