Maria da Fonte vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIL
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
4 - 0
BRI
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PED
0 - 1
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |