Conference South Round 6

Margate vs Dartford analysis

Margate Dartford
40 ELO 45
2.9% Tilt 5.4%
8067º General ELO ranking 5750º
324º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
44.2%
Margate
24.8%
Draw
31%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
Margate
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31%
Win probability
Dartford
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Margate
-4%
-19%
Dartford

ELO progression

Margate
Dartford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2015
BAS
Basingstoke Town
0 - 0
Margate
MAR
55%
23%
22%
41 48 7 0
18 Aug. 2015
MAR
Margate
0 - 0
Wealdstone
WEA
40%
25%
36%
41 45 4 0
15 Aug. 2015
HAV
Havant & Waterlooville
2 - 0
Margate
MAR
57%
22%
21%
42 48 6 -1
11 Aug. 2015
WHI
Whitehawk
2 - 2
Margate
MAR
62%
21%
17%
42 51 9 0
08 Aug. 2015
MAR
Margate
1 - 1
Truro City
WHI
37%
24%
40%
42 45 3 0

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2015
DAR
Dartford
2 - 3
Gosport Borough
GOS
36%
25%
39%
45 50 5 0
18 Aug. 2015
CON
Concord Rangers
2 - 3
Dartford
DAR
69%
18%
13%
44 51 7 +1
15 Aug. 2015
DAR
Dartford
2 - 2
Sutton United
SUT
42%
25%
33%
44 47 3 0
11 Aug. 2015
DAR
Dartford
1 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
46%
25%
29%
42 44 2 +2
08 Aug. 2015
HEM
Hemel Hempstead Town
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
65%
19%
16%
43 48 5 -1