Margate vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
RAM
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SLO
2 - 2
MAR
12%
21%
68%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIL
33%
26%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 0
WAL
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
HOR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 2
TON
47%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
ASH
1 - 1
SLO
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EAS
3 - 0
ASH
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ASH
2 - 0
HEN
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ASH
0 - 1
BIL
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |