Margate vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BOR
6 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 2
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHM
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
FOL
1 - 5
MAR
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
AFC
3 - 0
HEN
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
SLO
0 - 0
AFC
18%
24%
59%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
AFC
4 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 1
AFC
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AFC
1 - 1
BOR
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |