Margaritense vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margaritense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ATB
3 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
SOL
47%
26%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
FER
6 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ADC
2 - 2
MAR
64%
22%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
BNS
25%
26%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PBL
0 - 1
BNS
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MNU
1 - 1
PBL
41%
27%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PBL
1 - 0
MHN
51%
26%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
PBL
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PBL
1 - 1
ART
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |