A PFG Round 6

Marek vs Rodopa Smolyan analysis

Marek Rodopa Smolyan
74 ELO 67
3% Tilt -14.4%
3075º General ELO ranking 8881º
23º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Marek
23.5%
Draw
18%
Rodopa Smolyan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Marek
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
Rodopa Smolyan
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marek
-23%
+37%
Rodopa Smolyan

ELO progression

Marek
Rodopa Smolyan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2006
MAR
Marek
0 - 8
Levski Sofia
LSO
42%
27%
31%
74 79 5 0
26 Aug. 2006
VIH
Vihren
1 - 2
Marek
MAR
48%
27%
25%
73 70 3 +1
19 Aug. 2006
MAR
Marek
4 - 0
Chernomorets Sofia
CHE
76%
16%
8%
72 51 21 +1
13 Aug. 2006
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
64%
22%
14%
72 79 7 0
05 Aug. 2006
MAR
Marek
1 - 1
Beroe
BER
48%
26%
26%
71 71 0 +1

Matches

Rodopa Smolyan
Rodopa Smolyan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2006
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
0 - 1
Vihren
VIH
44%
26%
30%
67 70 3 0
25 Aug. 2006
CHE
Chernomorets Sofia
1 - 2
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
25%
26%
50%
66 50 16 +1
19 Aug. 2006
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
0 - 2
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
31%
27%
42%
67 79 12 -1
12 Aug. 2006
BER
Beroe
2 - 1
Rodopa Smolyan
ROD
56%
25%
20%
67 72 5 0
05 Aug. 2006
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
1 - 1
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
46%
26%
28%
66 69 3 +1