A PFG Round 28

Marek vs CSKA Sofia analysis

Marek CSKA Sofia
72 ELO 79
4.9% Tilt -6.5%
3084º General ELO ranking 960º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.1%
Marek
26.7%
Draw
34.2%
CSKA Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
Marek
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.2%
Win probability
CSKA Sofia
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marek
-18%
+24%
CSKA Sofia

ELO progression

Marek
CSKA Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marek
Marek
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2007
RIL
Rilski Sportist
3 - 0
Marek
MAR
40%
27%
33%
72 65 7 0
05 May. 2007
MAR
Marek
3 - 1
Spartak Varna
SVA
62%
22%
16%
71 64 7 +1
28 Apr. 2007
LOV
Litex Lovech
4 - 1
Marek
MAR
61%
23%
17%
72 79 7 -1
22 Apr. 2007
MAR
Marek
3 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
35%
26%
39%
70 79 9 +2
19 Apr. 2007
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
57%
25%
19%
71 79 8 -1

Matches

CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2007
CSK
CSKA Sofia
5 - 0
Vihren
VIH
73%
17%
10%
79 69 10 0
04 May. 2007
CHE
Chernomorets Sofia
0 - 6
CSKA Sofia
CSK
12%
23%
65%
79 44 35 0
29 Apr. 2007
CSK
CSKA Sofia
4 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
55%
23%
22%
79 79 0 0
22 Apr. 2007
BER
Beroe
0 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
40%
27%
33%
79 74 5 0
18 Apr. 2007
CSK
CSKA Sofia
2 - 0
Botev Plovdiv
BOT
68%
19%
13%
79 71 8 0