Marek vs Botev Ihtiman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
RIL
0 - 2
MAR
25%
24%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
OBO
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 2
MAR
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NAD
1 - 1
MAR
28%
22%
51%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Ihtiman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
BEL
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
OBO
3 - 0
BOT
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LCH
1 - 0
BOT
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRV
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
PIR
69%
18%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |