Marconi Stallions vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
SYD
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BCL
0 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
WOL
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
SUT
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BLA
0 - 4
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
BCL
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAN
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |