Marconi Stallions vs Footscray JUST analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1977 |
HEU
1 - 8
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
SYD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1977 |
WES
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAN
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1977 |
BRI
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Footscray JUST
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1977 |
FOO
2 - 1
BRI
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ADE
4 - 1
FOO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
HEU
2 - 0
FOO
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
FOO
1 - 0
SYD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
WES
0 - 0
FOO
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |