Marcílio Dias vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 2
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 1
JUV
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
BRU
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
HER
73%
17%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 4
AVA
24%
25%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |