Marcílio Dias vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
64.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
CRI
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAC
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
ECP
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 3
CHA
10%
21%
69%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRU
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 3
CHA
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
77%
17%
6%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |