Mar de Fondo vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar de Fondo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAL
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
PLA
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
UMO
1 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
ALB
16%
20%
63%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 4
ALB
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
POT
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CSY
1 - 0
BAS
46%
22%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
ORI
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 6
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |