MaPS vs TPK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
MAP
2 - 0
PIF
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TVE
1 - 0
MAP
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
MAP
3 - 2
AIF
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
VGN
0 - 1
MAP
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAP
2 - 2
ALA
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
TPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
VGN
0 - 2
TPK
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TPK
1 - 3
PII
7%
11%
83%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TPS
2 - 1
TPK
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
TPK
1 - 3
INT
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PEI
1 - 1
TPK
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |