Manzini Wanderers vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
14º
10º
54
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzini Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DNV
5 - 0
MAN
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
TAM
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SED
0 - 1
MAN
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MBA
3 - 1
MAD
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
MBA
4 - 0
SED
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NHO
0 - 2
MBA
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
MBA
2 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MBA
3 - 1
TAM
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |