New Zealand National League National League. Jor. 8

Manurewa vs Auckland United analysis

Manurewa Auckland United
25 ELO 36
-3% Tilt -1.9%
9936º General ELO ranking 7800º
24º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
23.6%
Manurewa
20.5%
Draw
55.9%
Auckland United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
Manurewa
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
55.9%
Win probability
Auckland United
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manurewa
+26%
-7%
Auckland United

Points and table prediction

Manurewa
Their league position
Auckland United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
10
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
21
21
100%
Wellington Olympic
20
20
100%
Christchurch United
16
16
100%
Eastern Suburbs AFC
15
15
100%
Cashmere Technical
13
13
0%
Manurewa
13
13
0%
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
12
12
100%
Auckland United
10
10
100%
Napier City Rovers
7
7
100%
Petone
10º
1
1
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Manurewa
Auckland United
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Manurewa
Auckland United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manurewa
Manurewa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
EAS
Eastern Suburbs AFC
3 - 0
Manurewa
MAN
79%
13%
8%
25 43 18 0
29 Oct. 2023
MAN
Manurewa
5 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
9%
13%
78%
20 40 20 +5
22 Oct. 2023
NAP
Napier City Rovers
0 - 1
Manurewa
MAN
77%
13%
10%
20 28 8 0
14 Oct. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 2
Manurewa
MAN
86%
10%
5%
19 43 24 +1
08 Oct. 2023
MAN
Manurewa
4 - 6
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
WEL
11%
15%
74%
20 38 18 -1

Matches

Auckland United
Auckland United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
3 - 4
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
WEL
50%
20%
30%
37 35 2 0
29 Oct. 2023
AUC
Auckland City
3 - 2
Auckland United
AFC
81%
12%
7%
38 52 14 -1
21 Oct. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
1 - 3
Wellington Olympic
WEL
23%
20%
57%
40 47 7 -2
14 Oct. 2023
PET
Petone
0 - 1
Auckland United
AFC
15%
17%
68%
40 19 21 0
07 Oct. 2023
AFC
Auckland United
2 - 2
Christchurch United
CHR
37%
23%
39%
40 44 4 0
X