Manurewa vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
55.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
6º
10
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 3
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 2
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
WEL
23%
20%
57%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CHR
37%
23%
39%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |