Paulista B First Stage Round 8

Manthiqueira vs Mauaense analysis

Manthiqueira Mauaense
20 ELO 24
-6.1% Tilt 0.6%
12673º General ELO ranking 10487º
454º Country ELO ranking 424º
ELO win probability
27.3%
Manthiqueira
25.1%
Draw
47.5%
Mauaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
Manthiqueira
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.5%
Win probability
Mauaense
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manthiqueira
-50%
+23%
Mauaense

ELO progression

Manthiqueira
Mauaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manthiqueira
Manthiqueira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2025
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 2
Manthiqueira
MAN
50%
23%
27%
18 21 3 0
24 May. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 3
Mauá
MFC
27%
26%
47%
19 26 7 -1
17 May. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
0 - 1
ECUS
ECU
36%
23%
42%
20 22 2 -1
03 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
4 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
54%
23%
23%
20 25 5 0
26 Apr. 2025
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
36%
24%
40%
20 22 2 0

Matches

Mauaense
Mauaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
3 - 1
União Mogi
UNI
50%
24%
26%
25 21 4 0
17 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
0 - 1
Mauá
MFC
45%
25%
30%
25 25 0 0
10 May. 2025
ECU
ECUS
0 - 0
Mauaense
MAU
36%
23%
41%
25 22 3 0
03 May. 2025
MAU
Mauaense
4 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
54%
23%
23%
25 20 5 0
19 Apr. 2025
UNI
União Mogi
1 - 1
Mauaense
MAU
35%
25%
40%
25 22 3 0