Paulista B 1ª Fase - Fase de grupos round 9

Manthiqueira vs Flamengo SP analysis

Manthiqueira Flamengo SP
28 ELO 40
-10% Tilt -9.3%
11757º General ELO ranking 8228º
444º Country ELO ranking 355º
ELO win probability
24.3%
Manthiqueira
25%
Draw
50.7%
Flamengo SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
Manthiqueira
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.7%
Win probability
Flamengo SP
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manthiqueira
-37%
-17%
Flamengo SP

ELO progression

Manthiqueira
Flamengo SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manthiqueira
Manthiqueira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2023
MAN
Manthiqueira
2 - 3
Atlético Mogi
MOG
76%
15%
9%
29 14 15 0
04 Jun. 2023
GUA
Guarulhos
2 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
36%
25%
39%
31 27 4 -2
27 May. 2023
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 0
CA Joseense
SJS
34%
24%
41%
30 33 3 +1
20 May. 2023
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
50%
23%
27%
29 26 3 +1
13 May. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
4 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
61%
22%
18%
30 39 9 -1

Matches

Flamengo SP
Flamengo SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
Guarulhos
GUA
61%
21%
18%
39 29 10 0
03 Jun. 2023
SJS
CA Joseense
2 - 2
Flamengo SP
FLA
38%
25%
37%
39 32 7 0
27 May. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
2 - 0
União Mogi
UNI
66%
20%
14%
39 26 13 0
20 May. 2023
MOG
Atlético Mogi
1 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
7%
18%
75%
40 7 33 -1
13 May. 2023
FLA
Flamengo SP
4 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
61%
22%
18%
39 30 9 +1