Primera A 2 Phase Pilsener Cup Round 1

Manta vs Independiente del Valle analysis

Manta Independiente del Valle
70 ELO 80
-5.2% Tilt -8.2%
1064º General ELO ranking 631º
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.5%
Manta
26%
Draw
48.5%
Independiente del Valle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
Manta
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.6%
Win probability
Independiente del Valle
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manta
-10%
+39%
Independiente del Valle

ELO progression

Manta
Independiente del Valle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manta
Manta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2014
LDU
Liga de Quito
0 - 2
Manta
MAN
62%
23%
15%
69 77 8 0
31 Jul. 2014
MAN
Manta
1 - 3
Barcelona SC
BSC
35%
30%
35%
70 78 8 -1
19 Jul. 2014
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 1
Manta
MAN
44%
29%
27%
71 68 3 -1
12 Jul. 2014
MAN
Manta
1 - 1
Dep. Quito
QUI
36%
29%
35%
71 76 5 0
05 Jul. 2014
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
3 - 0
Manta
MAN
42%
29%
29%
71 70 1 0

Matches

Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2014
QUI
Dep. Quito
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
35%
27%
38%
80 76 4 0
31 Jul. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
3 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
60%
22%
18%
80 72 8 0
19 Jul. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
0 - 0
Universidad Católica
UCE
54%
24%
22%
80 76 4 0
14 Jul. 2014
EME
CS Emelec
0 - 0
Independiente del Valle
IVT
49%
25%
26%
80 81 1 0
06 Jul. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
6 - 0
CD Olmedo
OLM
57%
24%
20%
79 74 5 +1