Manta vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
2º
47
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
MAN
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 2
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
CUN
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAN
27%
31%
42%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
OCT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |