Le Mans vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
LYO
3 - 2
LMU
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
LMU
0 - 2
PSG
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
MON
3 - 1
LMU
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
GIR
1 - 2
LMU
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
MET
48%
28%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
SOC
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LEN
0 - 0
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
23%
28%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |