Ligue 1 Round 20

Le Mans vs Lille analysis

Le Mans Lille
82 ELO 86
-12.8% Tilt 6.9%
969º General ELO ranking 21º
39º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.9%
Le Mans
29.2%
Draw
34.9%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
Le Mans
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35%
Win probability
Lille
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Mans
+16%
-3%
Lille

ELO progression

Le Mans
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Mans
Le Mans
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2009
LMU
Le Mans
1 - 2
Nice
NIC
42%
29%
29%
82 84 2 0
07 Feb. 2009
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Le Mans
LMU
39%
28%
34%
82 83 1 0
31 Jan. 2009
LMU
Le Mans
0 - 2
Nantes
NAN
54%
25%
21%
83 79 4 -1
25 Jan. 2009
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Le Mans
LMU
31%
26%
43%
83 74 9 0
17 Jan. 2009
ASS
Saint-Étienne
1 - 1
Le Mans
LMU
41%
27%
32%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2009
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 0
Lille
LIL
33%
30%
37%
87 81 6 0
07 Feb. 2009
LIL
Lille
3 - 2
Sochaux
SOC
57%
24%
19%
87 82 5 0
01 Feb. 2009
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 2
Lille
LIL
56%
25%
19%
87 89 2 0
23 Jan. 2009
DUN
USL Dunkerque
0 - 3
Lille
LIL
10%
24%
66%
87 52 35 0
18 Jan. 2009
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
Stade Rennais
REN
52%
26%
22%
86 86 0 +1