Le Mans vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
LMU
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
STL
0 - 0
LMU
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 2
DIJ
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LEN
2 - 2
LMU
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
ARL
54%
26%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 0
SED
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 2
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 0
NÎM
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 2
MPL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |