Marchfeld vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
ZWE
0 - 3
MAN
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
FCM
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SVH
2 - 2
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 1
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
OPI
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
ARD
1 - 1
WUR
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SPR
1 - 0
ARD
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARD
1 - 4
KRE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAF
0 - 1
ARD
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
FCM
3 - 0
ARD
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |