Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAE
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 0
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 1
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
BLA
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
4 - 1
SUT
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 2
SYD
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
SUT
16%
21%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 0
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 1
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |