Manly United vs Killarney Districts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROC
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 1
HAS
11%
20%
70%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BON
2 - 1
MAN
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |