Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 0
GAL
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 3
MUD
7%
17%
76%
|
96 | 56 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MUD
1 - 6
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
GAL
0 - 2
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 2
ASV
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
SUN
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
SUN
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 2
WBA
46%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 1
SUN
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |